From the Politico's "State of the States: New Hampshire"
"McCain, once down to single digits, is now statistically tied with Rudy Giuliani for second place in New Hampshire. In November, only one poll has found McCain and Giuliani more than three points apart. In the CBS/New York Times poll released this week, the two were tied with 16 percent each.
By contrast, Fred Thompson, who has spent very little time in New Hampshire, has fallen to fourth place, behind Texas Rep. Ron Paul, in most polls. Only one poll in November has put Thompson ahead of Paul.
McCain can take comfort in his recent rise, but his 16 percent is still less than half of Mitt Romney’s expressed support. Romney, who has polled under 30 percent only once since mid-October, has solidified his lead in the past month. Some outside pundits say Romney’s lead reflects his heavy advertising, but that is not the whole story. He has by far the best Republican operation in New Hampshire. His ground game is superior to all other Republcan's candidates and might even rival Hillary Clinton’s.
In one sign that Romney is connecting with New Hampshire Republicans, his signs can be seen on private property, as opposed to roadside rights of way, probably more often than those of any other Republican candidate."
Here are the IntraTrade graphs. Intrade graphs show what people are "putting their money on." A "72" closing price translates into the market giving Romney a 72% chance of winning the Republican New Hampshire Primary.
Romney's Intrade Graph
Giuliani's Intrade Graph
Giuliani is taking a hard nose dive after the most respected Republican in New Hampshire, Senator Judd Gregg, endorsed Romney.
Also, here are the results from the CBS/New York Times Poll released earlier this week, which gives Mitt Romney an 18 point advantage over Giuliani and McCain
Mitt Romney 34 +18
Rudy Giuliani 16
John McCain 16
Ron Paul 8
Mike Huckabee 6
Fred Thompson 5
I think we need to start asking who would be Romney's strongest VP running mate. Romney has an east coast (Mass Gov), midwest (Dad Mich. Gov), west (Utah olympics) support. Seems like someone from the South would provide some balance to his ticket. What about Jeb Bush? Hey-you like Dan Quayle better?
I suggest we start looking at VP candidate for Mitt. A southern guy like Jeb Bush?
I think that Huckabee may be the best choice for VP here although Jeb Bush has some strong Catholic and hispanic connections. Thompson is too old for it, although his wife might not be-(just kidding Mark). Rudy probably helps with most. Is there a strong woman vp candidate out there?
Nominating Romney-Huckabee is like sending Hillary a big fruit basket with a bow on it.
Ok-who would you suggest as a VP? Colin Powell, Jeb Bush, Rudy?
How about Joseph Lieberman, who has experience as a VP candidate, for Romney's VP ?
Anyone who is not ultra-Conservative on abortion while Liberal on everything else.