South Carolina: Part II

The Real Clear Politics poll averages shows that Obama should hopefully have this in the bag:

We've learned the hard way this primary season that the polling is extremely difficult to apply to this new primary schedule and the new variables in the races affecting turnout though. What we have learned is that the expectations-game has certainly played a role and winning a race you were sure to win isn't as helpful as winning a race you were almost certain to lose. And nothing hurts more than losing a race that you were expected to win... realistically or not.

This seems at first glance to be painfully unfair. If a candidate is what you want does it matter how they did in prior State primaries? Has the candidate changed any since that vote to make another candidate more appealing?

Perhaps not to anyone who is deeply involved in the process and made up their mind long ago on who they feel the best person is to lead the country. But among people who care about who may end up leading the nation, but unsure on who is the most viable to win the nomination versus others and how they feel that may play out against the other party... it could definitely shift their support, if nothing else in donations.

Even among those who are very involved, it can certainly have an effect macroscopically on them whether it is worth sending off more donations when it's starting to look hopeless for their preferred candidate.

My pick? Both? Kind of?

So here's to Obama winning and meeting expectations in South Carolina... if nothing else to keep the Clintons from running away with the nomination and keeping the fight going. I must admit, as much as I like to watch Hillary lose to more genuine candidate, that I think that feeling is shared by many leaning towards the Republicans this year... making her the weaker opponent for the general against our preferred candidates. So do I want to see Clinton lose? Sure. But I'd rather see her lose to McCain than Obama.

We already know how the troops generally feel about Hillary.

Somehow I have this funny feeling they could respect Obama a great deal more.

I could be wrong...

...(glancing at photo again)...

...but I doubt it.

So it's not that I mind seeing Clinton lose to Obama. She most certainly deserves to with the crap she's been spouting. Given the Democrats' penchant for picking weak candidates lately over better qualified/electable ones... it's not looking too hot for Obama.

This problem already killed off their two most experienced/qualified candidates. And one who was fairly likable to boot. Perhaps Richardson will end up with another executive appointment instead?

Oh well. nationally it still looks like a good portion of the likely Democratic voters would rather appoint the GOP's nemesis...

At least it'll keep late-night TV Hillarious.