1:40 PM: Might as well get this started. Mike Huckabee has won all 18 delegates from the West Virginia GOP convention. WV does not have a Primary or Caucus, but a convention:
Huckabee won in the second round of voting in West Virigina.
Romney picked up 41 percent of the vote in the first round, but failed to get the necessary 50 percent in the second round to win it.
The blogs are buzzing about a potential deal made between McCain supporters - who bombed the first round - and Huckabee delegates.
1:56 PM: I'm sure that it doesn't matter to anyone, but I will not be at Brookens tonight. Live blogging is still planned, absent any emergencies.
7:23 PM: Live-blogging from the couch, rather than at Brookens. Spending an evening trying to collect stool samples from a four-month-old put all of this in perspective, of course.
Early calls (read: blowouts): Illinois and Georgia for Obama, Oklahoma for Clinton. New Jersey, Connecticut and Illinois for McCain, Massachusetts for Romney. NJ and CT are big wins, as they are winner take all. As for the other states, I wonder why the networks even project winners in states like Illinois, where the delegate allocations are largely district-by-district. I'd love to see vote totals and exit polls for each Congressional District in Illinois, for example, to give some idea of the eventual delegate counts.
7:30 PM: Arkansas goes to Huckabee and Clinton. No surprise. Alabama has also been called for Huckabee.
7:41 PM: Champaign County results here. Nothing reported yet.
Illinois results here. Also nothing reported yet.
7:45 PM: If these early, leaked Democratic exit polls are accurate, then Obama clobbered Clinton today. If.
7:47 PM: More early national exit polling, for Republicans. Notice that there have already been at least one state (Delaware) called in contradiction to its exit polls, which is just further reinforcement of how exit polls are for entertainment purposes only.
8:12 PM: Lots of chatter in both blogospheres about shoddy exit polls. Deleware has already been called for McCain, though the exits said Romney would win it. I wonder if any of these states called as their polls closed based solely on exit polling are going to get pulled back later.
8:15 PM: Still no local results, but at this point I'm willing to make an early call based on exit polling in one crucial race: in Cunningham 23, IP.com is now willing to project that Gordy Hulten will be elected Republican Precinct Committeeman, based on a exit poll sample of one voter. :-)
8:22 PM: McCain projected winner of all of New York's delegates. Expected, but still a huge number of delegates.
8:24 PM: Full Illinois exit polls for Democrats and Republicans.
8:45 PM: Massachusetts just called for Clinton, in contradiction to its exit polling. Clinton is up 21 percent there, with 45 percent reporting. Huge upset win for Clinton, IMO.
Still nothing locally.
9:27 PM: Local results are starting to trickle in. With 24 precincts reporting:
- McCain 37, Romney 34. Dan Rutherford (Romney) is the runaway leader among delegate candidates.
- Cultra winning 60-40.
- Obama up 74-23. Mike Frerichs (Obama) is the runaway leader among delegate candidates.
- Rietz is up 82-17 over Ivy. Race over.
- McGinty up 74-25 in CB9.
- The Urbana Park referendum is failing narrowly (53-47), but I suspect the more liberal precincts are still out.
9:42 PM: Note of interest: with almost none of the rural/GOP precincts reporting, and with some campus precincts in, Dem ballots outnumber Republican ballots about 5-3. I still think the Dems will break 20,000 ballots, easily setting a record.
9:45 PM: To put those Urbana Park District results in context, the following ten Cunninham precincts are in: 2, 3, 7, 8, 13, 16, 18, 20, 23 and Urbana 4. I suspect, given the 17 precincts still still out there, that it will end up passing. I hope not, though.
9:46 PM: the three contested GOP Congressional Primaries in Illinois appear to be settled enough to say that Balderman, Oberweis and Schock will win those nominations. Schock is getting over 70 percent in a three-way race so far.
9:49 PM: Quick thoughts, while there's a break in the returns:
- Big night for Obama. The Democratic race is going to last perhaps until the convention, with Superdelegates and the disputed delgations from Michigan and Florida potentially deciding factors. I suspect Obama is going to kick himself later for playing by the rules in Michigan and Florida.
- Big night for McCain. NY, NJ, CT, a big victory in Illinois, and even super-red OK.
- Big night for Huckabee, winning big in the south.
- Romney has won, so far, just his two home states of MA and UT. Romney's been saying that it's a two-man race. Maybe he was right, and the two men are McCain and Huckabee.
- The Urbana Park District referendum is much closer than I thought it would be. There's actually a chance that it will fail.
9:55 PM: 38 precincts reporting in Champaign County:
- 7700 Dem ballots, 4500 GOP.
- McCain 38, Romney 33.
- Cultra up 60-40.
- O'Connor up 67-33
- Obama up 75-22.
- CB6: Rosales 266, Petrie 201, Jehle 133, Williams 130
- Urbana Park District (12 or 27 reporting: 48 yes, 52 no.
10:03 PM: I should really be putting the latest updates at the top. I'll start a new post.







Great move by McCain supporters in West Virginia... a Huck Block!
Romney shouldn't have gone out of his way to tick off all the other candidates. Now he has to face the "I hate Romney" club:
Breaking Reagan's 11th Commandment has consequences.
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Glock21 Op/Ed
By definition, isn't all blogging, "live"?
How would one go about "delayed blogging" or "dead blogging"?
Maybe you mean, "up to the minute blogging"?
"By definition, isn't all blogging, "live"?
How would one go about "delayed blogging" or "dead blogging"?"
Live blogging means blogging an event as it happens, rather than after-the-fact.
Yes, I do "delayed blogging" frequently with non-time-sensitive stuff - I write something, and schedule it to appear on the blog at a later time, usually the next morning. Most blogging software makes this pretty easy, and that way not all of the site's articles show up at the same time, or at 1 AM when I am most often writing them.
""The degree to which campaigns' personal dislike for Mitt Romney has played a part in this campaign cannot be underestimated," says an adviser to one of those rival campaigns. While sharp words have been exchanged between practically every Republican candidate at one point or another on the campaign trail, the aversion to Romney seems to go beyond mere policy disagreements. It's also a suspicion of what they see is his hypocrisy and essential phoniness — what one former staffer for Fred Thompson called Romney's "wholesale reinvention.""
Well, I'm glad it's not just me. Although a McCain-Huckabee alliance or ticket really makes me worry about my civil liberties.
I still think Pawlenty and Sanford are more likely than Huckabee.
Thanks for the explanation. I really was sincere in my question about "live blogging", although when I re-read it after it was posted it sounded like I was being a smart a$$.
polls are closed 7 minutes and they are already calling some of the races
anon... yeah, they've been doing that this primary season for the blowouts. So far with success, but it's been making me a bit wary. I'm waiting for a Dewey/Truman moment sooner or later. So far it hasn't happened. So I'm enjoying the wins for McCain so far, especially here in Illinois.
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Glock21 Op/Ed
i wouldn't call mass an 'upset win for clinton.' she was up huge there two weeks ago. obama closed the gap some with the kennedy endorsement, but she was always expected to win it.
Curious,
True enough: RCP did show Clinton winning MA, but by just seven points. And the exits tonight showed Obama winning narrowly. Perhaps it wasn't an upset win, but the 20-plus-point margin certainly surprised me, especially in light of the much-publicized Kennedy/Kerry endorsements.
ABC is showing champaign county results on its ticker, although still nothing on the clerk website. rietz, mcginty, cultra, rosales all up.
Hilarious.
there's about 20% of the county results up on the clerk site now
urbana parks: NO 53%, 37% reporting
To put those results in context, the following Cunninham precincts are in: 2, 3, 7, 8, 13, 16, 18, 20, 23.
I suspect, given what's still out there, that it will pass.
I suspect, given what's still out there, that it will pass.
Your logic is sound and I suspect you might be right. But I'll go out on a limb and predict that the No votes will squeak by with a majority.
Two more precincts in, and it's still losing 52-48.
This page has a good chart showing poll trends in MA:
http://www.americablog.com/2008/02/massachusetts-was-not-upset.html
Basically, Obama had a great late surge, but it wasn't enough.
A lot of the exit polls seem to have been way off tonight (this is a trend these days it seems).
Curious,
FYI - put up a detailed chart of the Urbana Parks referendum here.
Source: Sun-Times News Group
Delegates - District 15 - GOP Primary
661 of 661 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Max Winners=4
Name
Party
Votes
Vote %
Rutherford/Romney, Dan
GOP
26,819
10%
Brady/McCain, Daniel
GOP
26,123
10%
Shepherd/McCain, William
GOP
22,130
8%
Righter/Romney, Dale
GOP
21,712
8%
Hagerty/McCain, Michael
GOP
21,286
8%
Hermes/McCain, Leo
GOP
19,924
8%
Dobski/Romney, Julie
GOP
17,696
7%
Liautaud/Romney, Jimmy
GOP
16,779
6%
Williams/Huckabee, Rick
GOP
12,064
5%
Proctor/Huckabee, Rhonda
GOP
11,266
4%
Newcom/Huckabee, Lee
GOP
11,111
4%
Sidman/Huckabee, Sally
GOP
11,067
4%
Brady/Thompson, Bill
GOP
5,054
2%
Black/Giuliani, Bill
GOP
4,807
2%
Schmucker/Paul, Scott
GOP
3,652
1%
Myers/Thompson, Judith
GOP
3,635
1%
Rose/Giuliani, Chapin
GOP
3,629
1%
Ewing/Giuliani, Tom
GOP
3,619
1%
Cultra/Thompson, Shane
GOP
3,489
1%
Cunningham/Uncommitted, Roscoe
GOP
3,228
1%
Rice/Paul, Andrea
GOP
3,006
1%
Shelden/Thompson, Mark
GOP
2,912
1%
Cearlock/Paul, David
GOP
2,664
1%
Eddy/Giuliani, Roger
GOP
2,316
1%
Daugirdas/Paul, Kestutis
GOP
2,205
1%
Dan you ran out of check marks, I think you need one for Dale Righter, so we will have 2 Romney and 2 for McCain Delegates going to the convention.
Rutherford/Romney, Dan
GOP
26,819
10%
Brady/McCain, Daniel
GOP
26,123
10%
Shepherd/McCain, William
GOP
22,130
8%
Righter/Romney, Dale
GOP
21,712
8%
Plus Super Delegates, which are what party Official in our US Congressional District?
They had not declared it for Righter at the time.
Oh I see, Thanks for doing all of that work, even though I think you were having a lot of fun last night when I saw you at Brookens. So did I win, do I get a check mark?
Sick as it may sound, this is my idea of fun.
My friends were laughing at me because I downloaded and was filling in the scorecards for Super Tuesday... the primary is my world series... the general is my superbowl.
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Glock21 Op/Ed