Open Thread (12/21/2009)

Monday, December 21, 2009.

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from today's Chicago Tribune:

"A fossil fuel gains stature in global warming fight: natural gas changes power equation"

The gist of the article is the upcoming switch from coal to natural gas for large electricity generating plants. Given the obvious solution of building nuclear plants this is the height of unintended consequences. Assuming for the purposes of discussion that global warming is real and is caused by man and involves carbon dioxide this trend does little to address the stated problem. Natural gas is still a hydrocarbon and it's combustion still produces carbon dioxide, albeit a bit less than coal. Unlike coal however, natural gas fits down a pipeline rather nicely so it has become the fuel of choice for cooking and for heating our homes. If we burn more of it in large power plants it seems rather certain that the cost for the little guys will go up

So is the unintended consequence that the cost to heat our homes with natural gas will go up significantly due to competition with large stationary power plants? Let's build nukes. Lots of them. Like the French and the Japanese. No carbon dioxide at all. Maybe the cost to heat our homes would go down instead of up.

From Paul Krugman in today's New Yrk Times:

The political scientist Barbara Sinclair has done the math. In the 1960s, she finds, “extended-debate-related problems” — threatened or actual filibusters — affected only 8 percent of major legislation. By the 1980s, that had risen to 27 percent. But after Democrats retook control of Congress in 2006 and Republicans found themselves in the minority, it soared to 70 percent.

GOP: The Paralysis Party.

Keith_Hays's picture

Let's build nukes. Lots of them. Like the French and the Japanese. No carbon dioxide at all.

No CO2 at all, but plenty of spent nuclear fuel rods to dispose of. How do you propose to do that?

Maybe the cost to heat our homes would go down instead of up.

Back in 1968 Illinois Power told us that if we let them build a nuclear power plant at Clinton the price of power wold be reduced to almost 0. We were paying Illinois Power less than $30.00 per month for electricity and another $15 for natural gas in the winter. Somehow those promised savings did not materialize when the Clinton Nuclear Plant went on line.

Three Score and Ten Plus One

Keith Hays

Excellent question. Here's the answer from the DOE website:

Reprocessing. Spent fuel discharged from light-water reactors contains appreciable quantities of fissile (U-235, Pu-239), fertile (U-238), and other radioactive materials. These fissile and fertile materials can be chemically separated and recovered from the spent fuel. The recovered uranium and plutonium can, if economic and institutional conditions permit, be recycled for use as nuclear fuel. Currently, plants in Europe are reprocessing spent fuel from utilities in Europe and Japan. In the United States, DOE is conducting research on advanced nuclear fuel cycles that may someday recycle the spent fuel and extract more energy from the uranium. Advanced fuel cycle research is also being conducted to reduce the amount of nuclear waste that must be buried in the repository.

Waste Disposal. Although, the safety record for spent fuel storage systems has been good, ultimately the waste stream must be isolated from the biosphere until the radioactivity contained in them has diminished to a safe level. Under the Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended, the Department of Energy has responsibility for the development of the waste disposal system for spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste. Current plans call for the ultimate disposal of the wastes in solid form in licensed deep, stable geologic structures. A national repository at Yucca Mountain has been chosen to store the waste, but progress on the facility has been delayed. In the interim, spent fuel is being stored at about 70 sites across the United States.

As for the latter comment there is certainly some truth in the that. The plant was to cost $430 million and ended up costing $4.3 BILLION. Nothing like a thousand percent error to throw your calcs off a bit. Changing regulatory environments and gross mismanagement are at the root of that. Of course, the other part of the response is nothing else costs what it did in 1968 so the fact that energy is more expensive in 2009 than in 1968 is not surprising. And if we don't lioke today's energy prices just wait till "Cap and Trade" kicks in.

Keith_Hays's picture

Here's the answer from the DOE website:

...DOE is conducting research on advanced nuclear fuel cycles that may someday recycle the spent fuel and extract more energy from the uranium. Advanced fuel cycle research is also being conducted to reduce the amount of nuclear waste that must be buried in the repository.

...[T]he waste stream must be isolated from the biosphere until the radioactivity contained in them has diminished to a safe level....Under the Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended, the Department of Energy has responsibility for the development of the waste disposal system for spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste. Current plans call for the ultimate disposal of the wastes in solid form in licensed deep, stable geologic structures. A national repository at Yucca Mountain has been chosen to store the waste, but progress on the facility has been delayed. In the interim, spent fuel is being stored at about 70 sites across the United States.

It is generally accepted that the radioactivity of the waste stream will not be diminished to a safe level until many millenia have passed. That research into advanced fuel cycles is still in the embryonic stage and the storage problem has not yet been resolved. Building "lots of nukes" and doing it now adds immeasurably to the nuclear waste stream. We do not appear to be ready to jump at that solution to our energy needs until the waste can be materially reduced in volume and the twin problems of transporting and storing the residual waste are solved.

No, nothing much costs the same as it did in 1968 - except maybe corn and soybeans. That wasn't the point of the comment. The fact is, that for what ever reason, the promise of reduced cost resulting from nuclear generation of electricity have never been fulfilled - not at Clinton and not elsewhere. That ethereal promise of reduced cost is the same one that was floated a generation ago.

Three Score and Ten Plus One

Keith Hays

Much of the reactor waste has gone into military weapons and hardware used in the Iraq War. Ultimately civilians in Iraq and US military service members will pay for generations in health problems and birth defects. And in the end we will all pay. Several words will highlight why the nuclear power industry has not done well here: Chernobyl and Three Mile Island. Wonder why no one trusts nuclear plant operators? http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/mar2006/2006-03-21-02.asp Did you know that waste from coal power plants is a radioactive as nuclear waste? http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=coal-ash-is-more-radioactive-than-nuclear-waste Some things should stay in the grounbd: oil, coal, uranium. But then there's this thing called money.....

Glock21's picture

Apparently the problem with carbon emissions isn't dire enough to do something that could help with DU military applications, though that's a seperate and irrelevant issue. Oh, and safety regulations are just too hard to enforce to use a technology that could help now. What Would Jane Fonda Do? :-)

 

--

Glock21 Op/Ed

Time for BifB and Champaign Dweller to start bitching about how overpaid gov't workers are!

http://money.cnn.com/2009/12/21/news/economy/more_employers_granting_pay_raises/index.htm

 

Can I just point out that DU is not "reactor waste." In fact, it's the uranium that's left over when
you take out the kind that you *do* use in a reactor.

Oil Man's picture

Since we have to use fossil fuel, as an interim short term solution to our general energy use, natural gas is the 'best of the bunch'.  Its abundant in North America with 5 times less emissions minimum over coal and it uses existing coal burning facilities with minimal conversion costs.  Nuclear power for electricity is an exercise in extreme human protection just for production as exampled by high costs and its waste stream is so toxic we had the government take over disposal responsibility since total disposal costs have yet to be.  I do not find comfort in our elected being responsible for nuclear waste disposal. 

redstatewannabe's picture

Oil Man, if global climate change is the pending disaster that it is claimed to be, then dealing with nuke waste would be about the easiest of the possible options in reducing CO2 emmissions by 80%.

Arvid's picture

Oil Man, if global climate change is the pending disaster that it is claimed to be, then dealing with nuke waste would be about the easiest of the possible options in reducing CO2 emmissions by 80%.

So you're suggesting that we trade one problem for another?  This is the problem I have with a lot of conservatives; they're usually only thinking about the here and now and not what problems will result from such short-sighted decisions. 

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This last post conclusively proves that Arvid is in fact Laurel Prussing. Sad. - Anonymous on 2009-06-22 @ 9:30am

redstatewannabe's picture

I thought we were talking about the end of life as we know it, Arvid? 

Keith_Hays's picture

I thought we were talking about the end of life as we know it, Arvid?

We are!

And you are talking about trading one kind of Armageddon for another!

Three Score and Ten Plus One

Keith Hays

"Much of the reactor waste has gone into military weapons and hardware used in the Iraq War."

 

You're mistaken.  Depleted uranium is low level waste that has never been near a reactor. 

Three basic problems with nukes:

  1. Where you gonna get the fuel? The US doesn't have a sufficient amount, most of it is imported leaving us in the same situation as oil.  The current methods to extract what is in the US mines are pretty damning to the environment (in-situ).
  2. Where you gonna use the fuel? Nuclear plants aren't in the pipeline to be built.
  3. Where you gonna store the spent fuel? NIMBY. Make one hell'uva dirty bomb. Yucca' been talked about for decades now...

The public option for healthcare has more of a chance.

Oil Man's picture

I do not have the background to discuss globel climate change specifics since there appears to be multiple root causes, such as magnitic pole shifts, core cooling, impacts through our atmosphere, deforestation and most probably human environmental impact due to species population explosion.

I find rsw's apparent willingness for the government to control nuclear waste but not drinking water in CU somewhat puzzling.

redstatewannabe's picture

 

I find rsw's apparent willingness for the government to control nuclear waste but not drinking water in CU somewhat puzzling.

a couple responses

 

first, my biggest problem with the gov't controling the CU drinking water is that we already have a private owner, who doesn't want to sell.  for the gov't to have control now, they would have to TAKE it.

second, my discussion of nukes is mainly to question of the true motives and beliefs of the anti-CO2 folks.  If the CO2 emmissions are really that bad, nukes seem to be the only viable option to affect (or effect?) real reductions in the 5-20 year range.  There is no magic potion - windmills and solar collectors won't get it done.  France has managed to power its grid with nukes for years.  How bad is the nuke waste problem compared to the flooding, hurricanes, droughts, etc that Al Gore tells us is coming?

Oil Man's picture

So rsw is it your position if private monopolistic nuclear power generators cannot deal with their waste to make a profit, its the government's responsibility but if the private water supply owner can make a profit its still the government's to support to support the monopoly through preditory annexation to assure their profit and future revenue?

I like CO2 as a necessary component for plant growth, dry ice and a major component of our atomosphere very necessary for life on this planet.  However, as a wise man once said, 'everything is good in moderation'.  Excess is the problem whether it be nuke waste or global warming.

redstatewannabe's picture

So rsw is it your position if private monopolistic nuclear power generators cannot deal with their waste to make a profit, its the government's responsibility but if the private water supply owner can make a profit its still the government's to support to support the monopoly through preditory annexation to assure their profit and future revenue?

No, it is my position that gov't shouldn't go around taking, via eminent domain, the property of a private water company.