McCain, John

Maybe He Was Nonplussed

I tend to not criticize too much for improper use of words, because I've had my share of missteps, despite Fr. Peter's admonition to always keep my dictionary nearby.  But when it comes from a person who is ripping into someone else for being uneducated, it's hard to pass up.

When I heard that McCain campaign manager said that Sarah Palin was "very calm-nonplussed" when hearing of her selection as VP nominee, I got a chuckle.  .  Nonplussed means confused, although Schmidt isn't the first one to get this wrong.  Upon googling I find almost no one seems to have picked up on his mistake and the interviewer seems to have taken the slip up in stride.  The only hit I can find is from the Democratic Underground...so hats off to the grammar police there. 

Of course, our English language is constantly changing and over time nonplussed may actually end up meaning what it doesn't mean and we'll be stuck with an utterly confusing word like cleave or sanction.

 

Considering an Obama Administration

Well, yes:

The actions of the left over the last eight years, and the behavior of Obama's supporters and the press over the past few months has made me angry. Actually, that's an understatement. The truth is that this election has made me angrier than any other since I was eligible to vote.

It's not Obama himself who fuels my anger - it's the way the media covers for him. It's the fact that if he wins, I'll spend the next four years being accused of racism for disagreeing with his policy proposals.

I'm not sure "angry" is an accurate description of my attitude regarding national politics right now, but no better descriptors leap to mind (depressed?  frustrated?  maybe disappointed works best...).  I'm also not sure what is giving me this attitude: Obama's supporters (with many exceptions, like Kevin and his excellent comment here) and associates and media sycophants; or the completely absurd reactions of the Bush Administration and the McCain campaign to the financial crisis. 

A number of people have expressed to me sentiments similar to this:

This is surely small of me, but if Obama wins, I plan on giving him as much of a chance as the Democrats gave George Bush. I will gleefully forward every paranoid anti-Obama rumor that I see, along with YouTube footage of his verbal missteps. I will laugh and email heinous anti-Obama photoshop jobs, and maybe even learn photoshop myself to create some. I'll buy anti-Obama books, and maybe even a "Not My President" t-shirt. I'm sure that the mainstream bookstores won't carry them, but I'll be on the lookout for anti-Obama calendars and stuff like that. I will not wish America harm, and if the country is hurt (economically, militarily, or diplomatically) I will truly mourn. But i will also take some solace that it occurred under Obama's watch, and will find every reason to blame him personally and fan the flames.

I'm not ready to go there.  If Obama wins, so be it.  There are no intrinsic virtues in bipartisanship, but I do hope that after the election perhaps people can stop shouting at each other so much and at the very least be respectful to those with whom they disagree.  I doubt it, though.  I am afraid it's only going to get worse.

Suggestions for McCain

SmilePolitely.com has some suggestions for how John McCain can improve his campaign's fortunes.  A few of my favorites:

  • Without advance word, completely disappear from the world for a few days, and create a storm of speculation and intrigue. Emerge three days latter, scratched and bloody, with the dead carcass of Osama Bin Laden across his back. [Note: This will take some embalming work, since Bin Laden has been in deep freeze in US government storage since 2005. He will need to call in some favors from his mortuary friends.]
  • During next debate, slap Obama with a leather riding glove and demand satisfaction for the restoration of McCain’s honor. Offer choice of fencing epee, dueling pistol, or full javelin and riding horse. If Obama claims this is illegal, simply question his manhood, and choose riding horse, since Obama is known to be a poor equestrian.
  • Announce that the election is now a raffle, and that anyone who votes for him can win up to six of his twelve houses. Have Sarah Palin make the announcement, and have her wink a lot, implying that she or Todd just might come with the deal, depending on which way you swing. If Obama complains that this is illegal, slap him with a leather riding glove and see above.

After all, if you can't laugh at the absurdity of this year's Presidential campaigns, then what can you laugh at?

Depressing McCain GOTV Story

From FiveThirtyEight.com comes a pretty depressing story on the McCain campaign's GOTV efforts in Missouri and the surrounding states.  Low numbers of staff, poorly led staff, and so on paint a depressing picture of the effort McCain is putting into GOTV efforts.  Also depressing is the complete lack of McCain and Republican press secretaries being willing to even talk to FiveThirtyEight.com's people.  I know the guy(s) running it are liberals; does that automatically disqualify them from getting any response or access?  The site is pretty freakin' sweet, and is a tremendous resource for everyone, for everyday people and for campaign operatives.  Why thumb your nose at them, for no apparent gain?  Money quote: 

Let’s be clear. We've observed no comparison between these ground campaigns. To begin with, there’s a 4-1 ratio of offices in most states. We walk into McCain offices to find them closed, empty, one person, two people, sometimes three people making calls. Many times one person is calling while the other small clutch of volunteers are chatting amongst themselves. In one state, McCain’s state field director sat in one of these offices and, sotto voce, complained to us that only one man was making calls while the others were talking to each other about how much they didn't like Obama, which was true. But the field director made no effort to change this. This was the state field director.

Emphasis in original.  Back to Missouri real quick:  the state went for Bush by about 7% in 2004.  That's really enough margin to play with?

 

 

 

HG

Palin Bingo

Print yourself out a card and play along at home during tonight's debates.  A good time to be had by all.

Cue irrational defense of Palin and how the media makes her look stupid from Run4cvrlib and/or John Maloney...

More Illinois Polling

Rich Miller has more Illinois polling, showing Obama leading McCain 56 to 40 percent, and Blagojevich with either a 12 percent or 34 percent approval rating, depending on the poll.  More here.

ARG IL Poll: Obama +6 - UPDATED x1

ARG released a Presidential poll of Illinois yesterday which has Obama up over McCain, 51-45.  Poll was conducted the 13th through the 16th, with a MOE of 4 points.

UPDATE:  The University of Wisconsin has IL at 53-37, for Obama +16.

Independents Flock To McCain

Fox News has a poll (all right, go ahead and pile on Fox).  Because the overall number is similar to the other polls out there, I don't think there's much reason to be too skeptical of the underlying questions and how they split out.  The results on Independents are most remarkable.

McCain is leading among them 46-31, a 16 point swing in the last month.  Among Independents Obama has a 13 point advantage on health care (which seems never to be talked about) .  McCain has a 28 point advantage on Iraq, 5 point on the economy, 37 points on terrorism, and 11 on energy.

The Republican ticket has a  32 point advantage on experience, 19 point advantage on judgement, and a 2 point advantage on change!

My favorite is this one.  Is Barack Obama a talker or a doer?  55% of independents say talker, 26% say doer.  Lots of other fun questions in there including a desert island test.

 

There's more than one person around here questioning how you can juggle running for Vice President and caring for a Down's baby

Do I understand correctly that Palin has a baby with Downs syndrome less than 6 months old?  If true, then McCain has essentially given up the race.  There is no way that a mother with a baby that young, particularly one with special needs would have the time to spend on the campaign trail in the next two months.

Amazing. You would not have said that to a man candidate.

--quotes are from the IP thread about John McCain announcing Sarah Palin as his Vice Presidential nominee

 

So, I'm going to take another of my patented risks and bring up a topic that is probably going to make people scream, and get me banned from IP.

It's going to be considered sexist and politically incorrect, but that's okay; I know from IP and today's newspapers I'm not the only person thinking these thoughts, so I'm going to delight in being called a "Neanderthal" and a sexist b-rhymes with "rich".  Hopefully, I will also get a few people to see where these concerns are coming from, and what impact they may have on others.

When John McCain announced Sarah Palin as his pick for Vice President, he spent a great deal of time talking  about Trig, her 5 month old son, who was diagnosed in utero as having Down's Syndrome.  Given his mother's age when she became pregnant with him, it was a very definite possibility.

Sarah and Todd Palin made a decision that not all agree with--they decided to have this baby, and by all accounts, he appears to be a little angel.  Currently, it appears that Trig's older sisters are helping to care for him as they travel with their parents on the campaign trail.

However, Down's Syndrome children do not have an easy go in this life, even if their mother is the governor of Alaska and the family has an income of almost $243,000/year.  Down's Syndrome children are frequently born with heart defects, specifically:  Atrioventricular Septal Defect (formally called Endocardial Cushion Defect), Ventricular Septal Defect, Persistent Ductus Arteriosus and Tetralogy of Fallot.  (information courtesy of the National Down's Syndrome Society website).  It is not uncommon for Down's Syndrome babies to have heart surgery within six months of their birth to correct these issues.  While Down's Syndrome children now live into their 50's and 60's, just 40 years it was not uncommon for a Down's Syndrome child to die before they had reached 30 years of age.

Down's Syndrome children also frequently receive play therapy, speech therapy, and other social services before they start elementary school.  While in school, they are usually enrolled in Special Education services.  All these things--the medical needs and the educational/social services--are a major juggling act in the best of circumstances, when one has been in one's community for several years and has the knowledge of which agencies to call, and the social support of friends and family to lend a hand with babysitting (whether of the child or its siblings), a little help around the house, or a cassarole for those days when you just can't seem to get anything done enough to even start making dinner, much less someone whom you can sit down with to have a cup of coffee and vent over how overwhelming it can all be.

As someone who was a single, 26 year-old mother when my child (now an adolescent) was born, I know how hard it can be to raise just one healthy child.  I can't imagine trying to campaign for Vice President of the United States with a healthy 4-month-old child.  And Sarah Palin is going to do this with a child who may have health issues, and will certainly start needing services in the next 18 months?  It is with concern that I note that we have not been told how severe Trig's condition is--will he live an almost-normal life, or will he have severe medical and social issues throughout his life?  Some will state this is none of my business, but if his mother is Vice President and running around the globe, will Trig's dad, the "First Dude", be the one juggling all the doctors and other services needed by a child with Down's?

From today's Wall Street Journal (page 4): 

"It was liberals who found themselves questioning whether Gov. Palin can adequately care for her growing family while running for the vice presidency or, if it came to that, running the country.  And it was conservatives who found themselves championing the feminist view that women can do it all--and denouncing skeptics as sexist.

Barbara Licthman, a retired social worker in Sarasota, Fla., said her liberal friends keep questioning whether it is appropriate or wise for the mother of a special-needs infant to take on such a demanding job.  Ms. Licthman, 69, has similar concerns--and wonders why the family-values conservatives aren't chiming in.

"This is where I see the hypocrisy," Mr. Licthman said.  "When you're campaigning for vice president, you're on 24/7.  Who's watching the baby?  And what kind of nurturing is going on int that 17-year-old's life if she's pregnant?"  her vioce rose in frustration.  "But you can't talk about it, because it's politically incorrect," she said. 

Ina Roy-Faderman, 44, a hospital ethicist in San Francisco, says she, too, has been criticized for raising questions about Ms. Palin's choices.  "That's the first thing people jump on," she said.  "What's wrong with you?  Aren't you a feminist?""  Ms. Roy-Faderman chose to work part-time when her son was born two years ago, and she says she would never question a mother's right to work.  But it is a matter of balance, she said, "and when you have five children, one with special needs, the balance cannot be in favor of a high-stress, overtime job."

From the New York Times, " A New Twist In the Debate Over Mothers", page 1:

"When Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska was introduced as a vice-presidential pick, she was presented as a magnet for female voters, the epitome of everymom appeal.

But since then, as mothers across the coungry supervise the season's final water fights and pack book bags, some have voiced the kind of doubts that few male pundits have dared raise on television.  With five children, including an infant with Down Syndrome and, as the country learned Monday, a pregnant 17-year-old, Ms. Palin has set off a fierce argument among women about whether there are enough hours in the day for her to take on the vice presidency, and whether she is right to try.

It's the Mommy Wars:  Special Campaign Edition.  But this time the battle lines are drawn inside out, with social conservatives, usually staunch advocates for stay-at-home motherhood, mostly defending her, while some others, including plenty of working mothers, worry that she is taking on too much. 

"How is this really going to work?" said Karen Shopff Rooff, an independent voter, personal trainer, and mother of two in Austin, Tex.  "I don't care whether she's the mother or the father; it's a lot to handle," she said, adding that Ms. Palin's lack of national experience would only make her road more difficult.

"When I first heard about Palin, I was impressed," said Pamela Moore, a mother of two from Birmingham, Ala.  "But when I read that her special -needs child was three days old when she went back to work, I knew this is not someone who would put what is right for the people first."

...In interviews, many women, citing their own difficulties with less demanding jobs, said it would be impossible for Ms. Palin to succeed both at motherhood and in the nation's second-highest elected position at once.

"You can juggle a BlackBerry and a breast pump in a lot of jobs, but not in the vice presidency," said Christina Henry de Tessan, a mother of two in Portland, Ore., who supports Mr. Obama.

Her thoughts were echoed by some Republicans, including Anne Faircloth, daughter of former Senator Lauch Faircloth of North Carolina.  Being a governor is one thing, Ms. Faircloth said, and Ms. Palin's husband, Todd, seems like a supportive spouse.  "But running for the second-highest office in the land is a very different kettle of fish," she said. 

Many women expressed incredulity--some of it polite, some of it angry--that Ms. Palin would pursue the vice presidency given her youngest son's age and medical condtion.  Infants with Down syndrome often need special care in the first years of life:  extra tests, physical therapy, even surgery.

Sarah Robertson, a mother of four from Kennebunkport, Me., who was one of the few evangelical Christians interviewed to criticize Ms. Palin, said:  "A mother of a 4-month-old infant with Down syndrome taking up full-time campaigning?  Not my value set."

Ms. Palin is "essentially outsourcing her duties as a mother for the sake of personal political ambition," said Ms. Robertson, gazing down at her own 6-month-old daughter, snuggled against her chest.

________________________

While I can't state how well Sarah Palin is doing as the governor of Alaska (I'm hearing that her approval rating is around 80% positive), my thoughts are that her family currently has a lot going on, even in the best of times, and while Mrs. Palin may be a fantastic candidate for national office in ten or twelve years, she should have declined her current offer with a statement about her "family needs at this time being incompatible with the demands of the postion", and offering to assist Mr. McCain in any other fashion that would be of assistance.

Feel free to discuss (or throw brickbats!).

 

  • Congenital cardiac defects occur in up to 50 percent of children with Down syndrome.
  • Early diagnosis via echocardiogram is crucial within the first two months of life, even if no symptoms are present.
  • The majority of heart defects in children with Down syndrome can be surgically corrected with resulting long-term health improvements.
  • Experience and success are the key factors in selecting a hospital and surgical team for heart surgery on infants with Down syndrome.
  • (courtesy of the National Down Syndrome Society)

Why I'm Excited

I just read where Bill Maher said that watching Obama made him realize how conservatives could get so excited about Reagan.  Well, I think conservatives are getting excited again, for the first time since Reagan. 

The bottom line with Palin is that she's the first person I've ever seen who seems to put her actions where her words are.  A true reformer, with a lot of guts, principles, and great values.  She's going to surprise a lot of people and be the difference in this election.

Sure, there are plenty of drawbacks but my bottom line is that I think she has what it takes to win this election and to be a good vice-president and president if needed.  Reasonable people can agree with whether she's got enough experience.  Although my sense is that Democrats, who didn't care about Edwards lack of experience, or Obama's or Ferraro's will never give up insisting that she's lacking.  The voters, well that's a different story.

For now, I'm in with both feet!

Enthusiasm gap plagues GOP convention

(author not known - from the Northern Florida Republican Liberty Caucus maillist [republican-609] ):  So lets see, we now have the Eisenhower family, the Goldwater family, Chuck Hegel, Colin Powell, numerous GOP Congressmen and GOP Mayors all rejecting the Neo-Conservative message.

Additionally over 1/2 dozen GOP US Senators are skipping McCain's glorious debut at the GOP convention.

I wonder if this has anything with the Neo-Conservatives alienating the traditional Constitutional Conservatives? I suspect there will be many more conservative leaders and icons leave the party rejecting this message of debt, loss of liberties, war and fascism.

When the Eisenhower family is rejecting the Party we have problems.
http://www.newsweek.com/id/107476

Iowa Republican Leach, Ex-House Member, Backs Democrat Obama
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aH5Jv25YbDRc&refer=worldwide

NYT columnist: 'Demoralized' Republicans fleeing RNC will make McCain 'lonely guy' in Minnesota
http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Bob_Herbert_McCain_will_be_lonely_0815.html

Colin Powell to endore Obama
http://www.thedailybackground.com/2008/08/13/colin-powell-to-endorse-obama/

Also, Barry Goldwater Jr. will not be attending the Republican National Convention he will be a t the Campaign for Liberty with Ron Paul and the Constituional Conservatives.

Another GOP Senator Skipping Convention
Sen. Pat Roberts (KS) is now the eighth Republican senator to announce that they will not attend the GOP Convention in St. Paul, Minn., next month.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/08/13/another-gop-senator-skipp_n_118746.html

GOP exits to cost party millions
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-05-18-PAC_N.htm

Alan Keyes Leaving Republican Party
http://www.theamericanview.com/index.php?id=1035

So when the Patriarch conservatives are leaving the party it has to refer one back to this article?
Are Ron Paul Republicans Welcome in the Republican Party of Florida?
http://www.nolanchart.com/article3956.html

The Big Switch: Conservatives leaving the Republican Party
http://newsparade.com/2007/09/16/the-big-switch-conservatives-leaving-the-republican-party/

From Politicio.com
8/11/08

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0808/12476.html

While excitement is building for a Democratic Party convention capped by Barack Obama’s historic acceptance speech before a sold-out, 75,000-seat football stadium, the GOP convention the following week is shaping up to be a considerably more staid affair, marked by the conspicuous absence of many of the usual convention attendees.

Republicans aren’t exactly planning to avoid the convention in droves. But compared to past conventions, lawmakers, lobbyists and candidates aren’t beating a path to St. Paul either.

Of the 12 Republicans running in competitive Senate races — five of whom are incumbents — only three have said they will be attending the convention. Six are definite no-shows, and three are on the fence.

“Nobody likes a funeral,” said a Senate Republican press secretary who spoke on the condition of anonymity, citing “the overall climate of general malaise about the party” as the reason for hesitance on the part of Republicans.

On the House side, according to a report in The Hill, during a July 31 conference call National Republican Campaign Committee Chairman Tom Cole of Oklahoma discouraged congressional hopefuls from attending, saying that doing so would potentially be a “waste of time.”

At least a handful of Republican incumbents, ranging from vulnerable incumbents such as Jon C. Porter and Dean Heller, both of Nevada, to safe veteran members such as Jim Sensenbrenner Jr. of Wisconsin and Sue Myrick of North Carolina, have also decided to stay home this year.

“While the congressman believes spending time with the delegates and the party faithful is productive, he is focused on campaigning in his district and ensuring that we keep Nevada red,” said Matt Leffingwell, Porter's press secretary.

The political environment is just one explanation behind the absence of convention fever. Many GOP lobbyists also have decided the convention isn’t worth the trip — despite the seemingly limitless networking and schmoozing opportunities — in part because of logistics and location.

In 2004, D.C.-based conventioneers could zip in and out of New York City by train. The 2000 convention in Philadelphia was an even shorter ride.

McCain Blog Talking Points

I am often accused of posting talking points from John McCain.  I usually just laugh it off, given my differences with McCain on so many issues, and the fact that I've never actually gotten any talking points from him.

Now, though, he's got this strange "Spread the Word" thing on his campaign website (click on image at right for a larger screenshot), in which he's encouraging people to post his daily talking points to various blogs. 

Help spread the word about John McCain on news and blog sites. Your efforts to help get the message out about John McCain's policies and plan for the future is one of the most valuable things you can do for this campaign. You know why John McCain should be the next President of the United States and we need you to tell others why.

Select from the numerous web, blog and news sites listed here, go there, and make your opinions supporting John McCain known. Once you’ve commented on a post, video or news story, report the details of your comment by clicking the button below. After your comments are verified, you will be awarded points through the McCain Online Action Center.

I have no idea why they think this is a good idea, or what the "points" awards are good for.  IlliniPundit.com is listed with "conservative" blogs, and I have no idea why we're listed at all and, say, IllinoisReview or McLean County Pundit aren't.

Honestly, I had no idea this existed until CapFax posted about it today, and I do want to echo his warning. 

I’ve said this many times before, but now that I’m on some target list it’s worth repeating: Please, don’t post canned DC talking points on this blog.

I hate DC talking points more than just about anything in the world.

If I catch you posting these talking points from McCain’s site, I’ll delete your post and probably put you on the “hold for approval” list. And the same goes for Obama’s stuff. Thanks.

I'm not really into comment moderation or deletion, but if someone is repeatedly copy-and-pasting talking points from McCain or Obama (or anyone else) on here, then that's a pretty shallow corruption of the whole idea of community discussion we're trying to foster on here.  Our readers and commenters are the most politcally aware people in this part of Illinois, so if you can't think of something original to say, pasting crap like this isn't going to persuade anyone, so please don't do it.

Thanks.

Not Romney Please

Perhaps publicly vetting a Vice Presidential candidate at a time when the Republican Party is beginning to coalesce around the McCain candidacy isn’t wise, but here goes.  I’m really hoping that McCain doesn’t select Romney as his VP pick. 

It seems that Romney is the choice of many of the beltway types, or as Jonah Goldberg put it, the “rightwing wonkosphere”.  But I just don’t get a sense that he does much to excite the grassroots base of the party.  Dick Morris penned a great article that exposes just how weak Romney was and is as a candidate.

My hope is that McCain finds a conservative running mate with the credentials and philosophy to excite the base.  It wouldn’t hurt to find someone who can help in either a target state or with a key demographic group.

A few names have been mentioned that have the potential to excite the base, but also have some deficiencies.  Sarah Palin, the Governor of Alaska and Bobby Jindal, the Governor of Louisiana, both have a lot to offer but both are in their first term as Governors.  Huckabee excites part of the base but turns off perhaps an even bigger part with his protectionism and tax positions.  Carly Fiorina just doesn’t have a track record that will convince conservatives that she’s one of them.  Charlie Crist, like Jindal and Palin is pretty green plus comes off as more of the pragmatist than the true believer, ironically, in part, because of his endorsement of McCain in the primaries. 

Of the most talked about candidates I like Tim Pawlenty, Governor of Minnesota and Rob Portman, former OMB director and U.S. Congressman.  Both have the executive and legislative experience, are right on the issues, and have appeal in midwestern battle ground states. 

But my personal favorite would be John Kasich, former Congressman from Ohio and some time Fox News television personality.  Kasich represents the type of populist conservatism that I think is underrepresented in the national Republican party.  He complements McCain’s fiscal conservatism very well and adds a strong record in opposition to corporate welfare, a long forgotten issue by both parties.  He’s conservative on social issues and hails from the ultimate swing state of Ohio via his Pennsylvania birthplace.  He comes from a working class back ground and his expertise on budget issues is unmatched by any of the candidates.

There’s not much chatter about Kasich which probably isn’t a good thing for his few partisans such as Quin Hillyer and Michael Novak.  Of course, Vice Presidential picks have very often been surprising so perhaps Kasich is in play but no one knows it.  He’d excite the base and bring solid expertise to the White House, while giving conservatives something to look forward to in the post McCain party.

Interactive Demographics Election Simulator

The Boston Globe has released an interesting interactive website which allows you to set turnout levels and partisan margin for a number of different demographic groups (based on race, gender and religion) and see the effect on the 2008 Presidential election and the electoral college.

For example, in 2004, blacks turned out nationally at 60 percent and voted 78 percent for the Democratic nominee (based on exit polling).  If you ramp up that turnout to 85 percent, and increase the Democratic share to 90 percent, the website projects that New Mexico will flip from red to blue, but the outcome of no other state will change, so John McCain would still be projected to win with 281 electoral votes.  That's not a likely scenario - nothing else will remain static, of course, and 85 percent turnout among blacks is astronomical - but it's an interesting exercise just the same.

 

Panic Grips the GOP as McCain Steadily Sinks in Polls - Will St.Paul Bring a September Surprise?

 

John McCain is the candidate that Conservatives love to hate. The grassroots either despises McCain or at best say they wish McCain could inspire more enthusiasm.

Look around.  There aren't any McCain signs.  No McCain bumper stickers except Anti-McCain bumper stickers.  No McCain buttons except a few that have been vandalized to say "Non-McCain" or "Not McCain".  

Sure, there are a few die-hards out there who say that John McCain is a true war hero or some such notsense.  There are many of his comrades, some of them men known to be honourable, such as Tom McKenney, who has stated that McCain is anything but a hero, and the worst possible candidate.  Of course we feel sorry for what ever suffering he endured in 'Nam, but that makes him one of thousands, and we arent about to suggest any of the others as a Presidential candidate.

What must be the most troubling to the GOP, is that while voters continue to learn how unreliable and vacuous, and hence vulnerable, Mr. Obama is, McCain still continues to drop in the polls.  Particularly the recent FISA vote by BHO, and BHO's waffling on the war has got some of his potential supporters upset. Some of us have long wondered if McCain isn't simply a cats' paw placed to ensure that Obama gets elected, much as was done in Illinois in the Senate race where Alan Keyes served a similar function.  The amazing poll results for lackluster quasi-libertarian Bob Barr (even despite his appalling  neocon running mate WARoot) indicates the seriousness of the displeasure with the "presumptive GOP nominee".

Even though some of the people can indeed be fooled all of time, it is hard to imagine how the best the GOP can offer us is an irresponsible Navy-brat flyboy who graduated 894th in a class of 899, and particularly at a time when we are entering in to a potentially devastating economic & monetary crisis, and escalation of interventionist wars.

Steve Lendman suggests that maybe the Republicans really don't want to lose in November, and discusses several aspects about McCain including his health condition in this interesting piece. 

Rasmussen Polls Illinois

Interesting, but not unexpected results.

  • Presidential:  Obama leads, 50 to 37 - a bit worse that the conventional wisdom for Obama in Illinois
  • President Bush at 26 percent approval
  • More people thing Obama is too inexperienced to be President than think McCain is too old to be President
  • 57 percent favor more drilling

State of American Political Discourse

Yesterday perfectly demonstrated the state of American discourse.

It started with an important event - Iran firing missiles - which allowed both candidates for President to highlight real differences in their philosophies and how they would handle such a situation.  It was real, current, relevant and informative.

And today, nobody cares, because last night Jesse Jackson said he wants to cut off Barack Obama's nuts, and the entire American political world is titillated.

Is it 2009 yet?

Obama-Clinton Lingering Fallout

As I've been saying since February, I think that the great question of the 2008 campaign will be whether Barack Obama can unite Democrats to a great enough degree to win.  (Corollary to that is the question of whether John McCain can unite Republicans enough to take advantage of any Clinton-Obama fallout, and to overcome the massive partisan advantages of Democrats this year.)

Real Clear Politics takes a stab at answering the question of how many Clinton supporters will support McCain, using current (very early!) polling:

Luckily, we have some data from Quinnipiac's recent swing state survey that gives us some indication of how Clinton primary voters in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are feeling. As you can see, Florida closely mirrors the national numbers but the trend is more pronounced in Pennsylvania and especially Ohio, where the net change (drop in support for Obama/increase in support for McCain) reaches 22 and 29 points respectively:

chart2.gif

Again, it should be noted that Obama increased his lead over McCain in every Quinnipiac state poll, indicating that despite whatever lingering fallout exists with Clinton supporters, Obama is more than making up the difference with gains among other groups.

Still, it should give the Obama campaign a bit of a pause to see that, at least for the moment, one in four Democrats who voted for Hillary Clinton in the primaries in both Ohio and Pennsylvania indicate they will crossover to vote for McCain in the fall.

I really need to sit down and do my own analysis on this.  I keep waffling on whether Obama is doing a great job winning Clinton supporters and I just haven't had a chance to compile and drill down into any real data yet.  But I wanted to share this anyway.

Obama's strange appeal to high priests of US conservatism

I never saw that coming.  The title is from this article:

They're called the Obamacons -- the conservative thinkers who are disgusted with the Republicans and are rallying to Democrat Barack Obama as the nation's economic and diplomatic savior.

They are joining younger evangelical leaders who see more to their religious mission than slavish devotion to Republican social mores, and fiscal conservatives who reject the war-fueled spending of President George W. Bush.

"The Bush coalition is dissolving," pollster John Zogby told AFP.

"We have polling showing one-fifth of conservatives supporting Obama," he said.

Nuclear Power

From the AP wire:  McCain calls for building 45 new nuclear reactors.  One of the more pertinent passages:

McCain said the 104 nuclear reactors currently operating around the country produce about 20 percent of the nation's annual electricity needs.

"Every year, these reactors alone spare the atmosphere from the equivalent of nearly all auto emissions in America. Yet for all these benefits, we have not broken ground on a single nuclear plant in over thirty years," he said. "And our manufacturing base to even construct these plants is almost gone."

 

I've long thought that nuclear power offers the best chance to generate energy for the US while minimizing the enviromental costs.  I'm not a head-in-the-sand idiot; I know the costs, dangers, and problems with storing used (spent?) nuclear fuel.  I just think nuclear power, versus coal ("clean" or otherwise), oil, or natural gas, offers the most upside with the least downside.

The remainder of the article goes on to McCain's idea for "clean" coal, an idea I'm much less in favor of.

 

As IP says, discuss...

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